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Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 08:54:50 -0600
From: Gerry Gleason <gerry@geraldgleason.com>
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To: georgedafermos@discover.org
Cc: discuss@ggpl.org
Subject: Re: Osaka Organis design/ Waking the Planet
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George Dafermos wrote:

>>
>>Hope this isn't just more confusing.
>>
>>WRT
>>
>
>It all makes sense now. The all-pervasive underlying pattern...i know. I=
 should also confess that most of times I've tried to engage with Wolfram=
's book, I end up looking at the pictures instead of reading it.
>
Good.  That you were confused probably means we should make some of this =

a bit more explicite in the text.

>
>>Very interesting. I wonder if you could find some similar relatonships =

>>in say, nerve cell grouping in brains and similar. I have some partiall=
y=20
>>formed thoughts about how the small groups would be densely connected=20
>>internally, but the external connections to larger groupings might be=20
>>"function specific" so that any individual would have a scope < 150 but=
=20
>>the small group as a whole would be connected to a much larger network.=

>>
>>If the larger community (surrounding?) is similarly organized, I can se=
e=20
>>the scope being very wide indeed, but more in terms of replicating (wit=
h=20
>>variation) the 15 -> 150 units in physically seperated spheres.
>>
>In fact, the number of 150 has everything to do with brains.
>
Of course, I was speculating about network relationships and fan-outs in =

neuron relationships, but this is more direct to the capacity issues=20
that actually relate to social networks.

>The number 150 originates from the work of the British anthropologist Ro=
bin Dunbar on social channel capacity. Having examined several kinds of p=
rimates (monkeys, humanschimps, etc) in order to identify why we humans h=
ave a bigger neocortex (a region in the brain which deals with complex re=
asoning), Dunbar concluded that group size is what determines the size of=
 the neocortex. On other words, the larger the groups we live with, the l=
arger the neocortex. Dunbar's main thesis is that our brains evolve to co=
pe with the complexities of larger social groups. For instance, if you be=
long to a group of five people, you have to keep track of ten separate re=
lationships. But if you belong to a group of twenty people, you have to k=
eep track of 190 relationships. Obviously, while there is only a fivefold=
 increase in group size, the additional burder on one's social channel ca=
pacity is twentyfold. Dunbar has developed an equation (the size of the n=
eocortex relative to the size of the whole brain) which works out the max=
imum group size of any given animal. In the case of humans, the number is=
 roughly 150.=20
>And yes, as Francois  correctly pointed out, the theory of small worlds =
and networks is definitely relevant.=20
>
>George
>
I'm still a bit unclear exactly how this works.  Is 150 about the number =

of relationships you can keep track of?  The total number of=20
relationships in a group of 150 would be 11175, so I can't see how a=20
person would be able to track all the relationships in the larger group. =

 I can speculate that what characterizes the smaller group is that you=20
would have the capacity to track all the relationship (somewhat), and=20
have some capacity for special relationships outside the core group.  15 =

people -> 105 relationships leaving a "reserve" capacity of about 45*15=20
=3D 675 for external relationships.  I realize that I'm just playing with=
=20
numbers here, but I also took the total relationships in the larger=20
group and divided that by this reserve number and got 11175/675 =3D 16.=20
 I'm speculating that if you consider the external relationships to be=20
more like 1 person to 1 group, that works out pretty well.

I grew up in a large family (five sisters), and I would observe that the =

direct relationships are much more significant, but maybe my sisters=20
would see this differently.  In any case, these would be the second=20
tier, or first indirection, although you are directly related to both=20
parties here.  With the external (to the small group) relationships, the =

direct connections are no longer "dense", but you will be at most two=20
hops from anyone in the larger group (assuming the external connections=20
are somewhat independent).  Perhaps this represents the largest networks =

in which community norms can effectively operate to regulate behavior.

The questions that are prompting all this speculation for me are about=20
how this connects to the way new communication media are reshaping our=20
political and social environments.  Before any of these technologies=20
came along, all communication was verbal and face to face, and even=20
after writing emerges, it was a rare technology practiced only by an=20
elite, often in the service of the society, not the individual.  Now, we =

can develop close personal relationships with people we have yet to meet =

halfway around the world, and people lament the loss of connection with=20
the communities they live it (we have lived in our house 2 and 1/2=20
years, and although I have met a few neighbors, I'm not on a first name=20
basis with any of them).

So what happens when you go beyond the 150?  In my draft, I added the=20
list of rules for the VNO level that parallels the MicroOrg rules, and I =

stated that the VNO scope is limited by the scope of the idea, but this=20
suggests that there needs to be more to it.  I'm thinking that 1) each=20
VNO would have a core group that has the same rules and limits as any=20
MicroOrg cell that is focussed on the VNO mission and service=20
relationships (contracts), 2) when you get beyond 150 in the core +=20
"customers" there needs to be some sort of split, and 3) I'm not sure=20
about this one, but perhaps this would introduce another layer of=20
MicroOrgs between the VNO and the MicroOrgs delivering the service.

I'm reluctant to introduce hierachy, but I think as long as this=20
develops organically in a self-organizing manner I don't think there is=20
a problem.  The small worlds theory suggests that there would never need =

to be more than a few layers, and by sticking to a very flat topology=20
and allowing for movement of people between MicroOrgs the structures=20
would be resistent to power grabs and empire building.  I remember a=20
joke (most likely first encountered in the fortune file) that first=20
stated that the probability of error/failure is directly proportional to =

the number of layers of management above the persone making the=20
decision, then goes on to point out that there are 40 layers above the=20
guy in the silo with his finger on the button.  (one of those jokes that =

you either have to laugh at, or be overwhelmed by anxiety and/or fear)

Gerry



